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  3. Coronavirus (way, way, off topic)

Coronavirus (way, way, off topic)

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  • skywatchS skywatch

    @zboblamont Do you have a link for the 'outing'?

    NeverDieN Offline
    NeverDieN Offline
    NeverDie
    Hero Member
    wrote on last edited by NeverDie
    #63

    @skywatch said in Coronavirus (way, way, off topic):

    @zboblamont Do you have a link for the 'outing'?

    Maybe this? https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/06/health/coronavirus-mutation-transmission.html

    It is rather curious that, at least in the US, the Los Angeles Times was the only "major" (usually reputable) newspaper to print the original story.

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    • NeverDieN Offline
      NeverDieN Offline
      NeverDie
      Hero Member
      wrote on last edited by NeverDie
      #64

      In the US, the trend is toward removing the lockdown. What do you guys think about that? I mean, if anything, isn't there a more immediate coronavirus threat now than when the lockdown was started? The politicians seem to be saying: "Oh, look, the hospitals didn't get over-run after all." But, in reality, aren't coronavirus infections still growing geometrically? I'm wondering whether the "end the lockown" movement might be the biggest case of GroupThink in world history.

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      • skywatchS skywatch

        @zboblamont Do you have a link for the 'outing'?

        zboblamontZ Offline
        zboblamontZ Offline
        zboblamont
        wrote on last edited by
        #65

        @skywatch Sorry, read it in two separate press articles but didn't pay attention which ones... Essentially virologists and epidemiologists reckon this is the most watched and researched bug worldwide, yet ONE lab published a non peer-reviewed paper ?

        @NeverDie There is no one-size-fits-all approach to exit lockdown, the trouble is there are multiple demands to do so none of which are based on science, which is why most of Europe is feeling it's way slowly and with an abundance of caution, the alternative is a lot of dead and overwhelmed health systems.
        Romania has 48/M dead, UK 460, US 236, even if eradicated now there will be 2nd, 3rd etc waves unless you have another strategy to prevent spread. It's all about breaking chains of transmission, and that means dramatically changing "normal" human behaviours.
        Social distancing and sanitation appears to be key, Test/Track/Isolate is also being examined, but no jumping in a plane to Paris for a weekend, it's now 14 days in quarantine.

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        • skywatchS Offline
          skywatchS Offline
          skywatch
          wrote on last edited by
          #66

          @NeverDie Your name on here is more apt than ever now! ;)

          I think that 'fake news' is a bit harsh. They both agree that mutations have and continue to occur, they do however differ in their opinions on what this actually means.

          @zboblamont I'd rather have another 3 months of lockdown with a clear way out then a rushed one that then comes back after another 30000 Brits die. Lets face it, WE are the test dummies in this scenario and many more will die if the government gets it wrong.

          zboblamontZ 1 Reply Last reply
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          • skywatchS skywatch

            @NeverDie Your name on here is more apt than ever now! ;)

            I think that 'fake news' is a bit harsh. They both agree that mutations have and continue to occur, they do however differ in their opinions on what this actually means.

            @zboblamont I'd rather have another 3 months of lockdown with a clear way out then a rushed one that then comes back after another 30000 Brits die. Lets face it, WE are the test dummies in this scenario and many more will die if the government gets it wrong.

            zboblamontZ Offline
            zboblamontZ Offline
            zboblamont
            wrote on last edited by
            #67

            @skywatch Agreed, but I'm in a shielded group due to age, and since retired my "normal" ain't everyone else's.

            The immediate problem of lockdown (beyond getting pissed off) is political not health. With so many now on the government payroll (that quaint US term furlough) essentially MMT is in place and working, and it's scaring the sh1t out of those who make a nice living out of MMT denial. If the penny drops as lockdown extends, the big con is over, hence the heavy campaigning to exit lockdown soon, and politicians bricking it. I gather you're a Brit so this may prove interesting if you're not already acquainted with Murphy... https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2020/05/05/people-and-jobs-or-wealth-the-government-has-to-decide-which-to-prioritise-and-there-is-only-one-right-answer/
            Our lives will be fundamentally changed for probably 18 months to 2 years with trials and setbacks to keep things under control, what form the steady state takes is currently anybody's guess, but we should know better by 6 months in, around October.

            skywatchS 1 Reply Last reply
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            • zboblamontZ zboblamont

              @skywatch Agreed, but I'm in a shielded group due to age, and since retired my "normal" ain't everyone else's.

              The immediate problem of lockdown (beyond getting pissed off) is political not health. With so many now on the government payroll (that quaint US term furlough) essentially MMT is in place and working, and it's scaring the sh1t out of those who make a nice living out of MMT denial. If the penny drops as lockdown extends, the big con is over, hence the heavy campaigning to exit lockdown soon, and politicians bricking it. I gather you're a Brit so this may prove interesting if you're not already acquainted with Murphy... https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2020/05/05/people-and-jobs-or-wealth-the-government-has-to-decide-which-to-prioritise-and-there-is-only-one-right-answer/
              Our lives will be fundamentally changed for probably 18 months to 2 years with trials and setbacks to keep things under control, what form the steady state takes is currently anybody's guess, but we should know better by 6 months in, around October.

              skywatchS Offline
              skywatchS Offline
              skywatch
              wrote on last edited by skywatch
              #68

              @zboblamont I have not read that link entirely, but the title "People and jobs? Or wealth?" made me smile. How will 'wealth' get created without people and jobs?

              Anyway, I will read it all tomorrow when I have more time. Seems that you need some hobbies to avoid getting 'pissed off'. I have been cleaning, gardening, cooking and generally fiddling with mysensors stuff. A few movies as well, it's not as bad as being in an ICU bed I can assure you!

              I think the government should do a half hour presentation to the public about the virus and then 'advise' a lockdown without enforcing it. Then, only the idiots would carry on, as normal, get the disease and die. therefore we could improve the future gene pool by getting rid of some of them. But not everyone would agree with me.

              Also, this is not a war and no infrastructure has been destroyed, to bounce back can happen very quickly when the balance between dead voters/tax payers/GDP contributors (read us, the public) is acceptable for the financial markets to go back to what they were doing before.

              As for now, I understand that alcohol kills the sars-cov-2 virus and so have a lockdown plan to tackle this.......

              20200426_135418.jpg

              zboblamontZ 1 Reply Last reply
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              • skywatchS skywatch

                @zboblamont I have not read that link entirely, but the title "People and jobs? Or wealth?" made me smile. How will 'wealth' get created without people and jobs?

                Anyway, I will read it all tomorrow when I have more time. Seems that you need some hobbies to avoid getting 'pissed off'. I have been cleaning, gardening, cooking and generally fiddling with mysensors stuff. A few movies as well, it's not as bad as being in an ICU bed I can assure you!

                I think the government should do a half hour presentation to the public about the virus and then 'advise' a lockdown without enforcing it. Then, only the idiots would carry on, as normal, get the disease and die. therefore we could improve the future gene pool by getting rid of some of them. But not everyone would agree with me.

                Also, this is not a war and no infrastructure has been destroyed, to bounce back can happen very quickly when the balance between dead voters/tax payers/GDP contributors (read us, the public) is acceptable for the financial markets to go back to what they were doing before.

                As for now, I understand that alcohol kills the sars-cov-2 virus and so have a lockdown plan to tackle this.......

                20200426_135418.jpg

                zboblamontZ Offline
                zboblamontZ Offline
                zboblamont
                wrote on last edited by
                #69

                @skywatch I understand your confusion on the wealth/jobs aspect, "the financial markets to go back to what they were doing before " is precisely what we do NOT need if we're not going to avoid boom bust austerity cycles... Mark Blyth does some good lectures on it which may help reset perspectives, his software/hardware computer analogy is particularly helpful.
                Those same vested interests have been provoking public frustration of late in England, but I sincerely hope folks stick with it, idiots are not the only victims if they don't.

                Plenty to keep me occupied here and beer is cheap enough (ca 50p ;) ), currently fitting IP65 spots in the bathroom, so laying off the beer and looking forward to a shower....

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                • A Offline
                  A Offline
                  akyle32
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #70

                  The situation is getting worse in my country. Ive read news that around 500 inmates in a single jail was positive of the virus. Im praying we can get through this situation soon.

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                  • NeverDieN Offline
                    NeverDieN Offline
                    NeverDie
                    Hero Member
                    wrote on last edited by NeverDie
                    #71

                    I was reading up on Hypochlorous Acid as a possibly superior disinfectant. I was surprised to find little machines on AliExpress which are claiming to make it.
                    https://www.aliexpress.com/item/4001031093275.html?spm=a2g0o.productlist.0.0.11cd7faa2Rv2Ze&algo_pvid=8e105a6c-589f-49fb-b2b5-aeac6b44f105&algo_expid=8e105a6c-589f-49fb-b2b5-aeac6b44f105-16&btsid=0ab50f6115905983866665115e8103&ws_ab_test=searchweb0_0,searchweb201602_,searchweb201603_
                    The typical ingredients are just water plus a little vinegar and salt, plus some kind of reaction which the machines do. I'm not sure how one would test for efficacy, but it sounds interesting.

                    Anyone heard of these or are using them? One of them sells for as little as $10 and plugs into a USB port. Just about all of them are less than $100. They appear to make copious amounts of disinfectant, such that you could pretty much shower any incoming goods in the stuff. From what I've been reading, Hypochlorous Acid appears to be a capable viruscide that's quite innocuous to humans and has much less odor than bleach. That said, I have no idea whether these machines manage to make it in a useful concentration or not. Concentration levels are directly related to efficacy, and AFAIK, maybe required dwell time as well.

                    So, why not just buy the stuff rather than make it? Apparently Hypochlorous Acid has a relatively short shelf-life of about a week or so.

                    Anyone heard of this stuff before? I've seen almost nothing in the news about it.

                    franz-unixF 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • NeverDieN NeverDie

                      I was reading up on Hypochlorous Acid as a possibly superior disinfectant. I was surprised to find little machines on AliExpress which are claiming to make it.
                      https://www.aliexpress.com/item/4001031093275.html?spm=a2g0o.productlist.0.0.11cd7faa2Rv2Ze&algo_pvid=8e105a6c-589f-49fb-b2b5-aeac6b44f105&algo_expid=8e105a6c-589f-49fb-b2b5-aeac6b44f105-16&btsid=0ab50f6115905983866665115e8103&ws_ab_test=searchweb0_0,searchweb201602_,searchweb201603_
                      The typical ingredients are just water plus a little vinegar and salt, plus some kind of reaction which the machines do. I'm not sure how one would test for efficacy, but it sounds interesting.

                      Anyone heard of these or are using them? One of them sells for as little as $10 and plugs into a USB port. Just about all of them are less than $100. They appear to make copious amounts of disinfectant, such that you could pretty much shower any incoming goods in the stuff. From what I've been reading, Hypochlorous Acid appears to be a capable viruscide that's quite innocuous to humans and has much less odor than bleach. That said, I have no idea whether these machines manage to make it in a useful concentration or not. Concentration levels are directly related to efficacy, and AFAIK, maybe required dwell time as well.

                      So, why not just buy the stuff rather than make it? Apparently Hypochlorous Acid has a relatively short shelf-life of about a week or so.

                      Anyone heard of this stuff before? I've seen almost nothing in the news about it.

                      franz-unixF Offline
                      franz-unixF Offline
                      franz-unix
                      wrote on last edited by franz-unix
                      #72

                      @NeverDie a sodium hypochlorite solution is what is commonly known as bleach. Probably is more convenient to buy it rather than produce them.

                      Just to give you an idea, below a picture of a famous bleach commercialized in Italy... Maybe you have the same brand in your country

                      bleach.jpg

                      Your question about the concentration and efficacy is interesting.

                      NeverDieN 1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • franz-unixF franz-unix

                        @NeverDie a sodium hypochlorite solution is what is commonly known as bleach. Probably is more convenient to buy it rather than produce them.

                        Just to give you an idea, below a picture of a famous bleach commercialized in Italy... Maybe you have the same brand in your country

                        bleach.jpg

                        Your question about the concentration and efficacy is interesting.

                        NeverDieN Offline
                        NeverDieN Offline
                        NeverDie
                        Hero Member
                        wrote on last edited by NeverDie
                        #73

                        @franz-unix said in Coronavirus (way, way, off topic):

                        a sodium hypochlorite solution is what is commonly known as bleach.

                        Yes, but take a closer look. I was not interested in bleach (sodium hypochlorite) but instead Hypochlorous Acid. Note the difference in spelling, as they are not the same. I'm aware that some of the aliexpress products, like the one I linked to, may also advertise as sodium hypochlorite, but I think that may just be click bait (?). After all, how many people have ever heard of Hypochlorous Acid? Not me, until now.

                        What are the benefits?

                        Hypochlorous acid, unlike chlorine bleach, is 100% safe and non-irritant. If it gets on your skin or in your eyes, it will not burn. Even if it were accidentally ingested, it is completely harmless. Yet, it is 70-80 times more efficient at killing microbial pathogens than chlorine bleach.
                        https://www.hypochlorousacid.com/

                        It's good for disinfecting food surfaces, and you don't need to wash it off afterward. Some other disinfectants aren't safe for food contact, and so they have to be completely washed off food surfaces following disinfection, which to me seems like a major hassle. In addition, hypochlorous acid is apparently safe for disinfecting raw produce.

                        There is real science behind it: https://www.ams.usda.gov/sites/default/files/media/Hypochlorous Acid TR 08 13 15.pdf

                        How I found it: I was looking for a disinfectant with the shortest minimum dwell time to be effective. A lot of disinfectants have to thoroughly wet a surface for 10 or more minutes to be effective, which is a long time to be waiting around. The length of time is always detailed in a disinfectant's datasheet. For instance, consider Simple Green Clean Finish:" https://simplegreen.com/products/clean-finish-disinfectant-cleaner/ It kills 99.9% of bacteria in just 5 seconds. It can kill Avian influenza virus in 30 seconds if kept wet, but it can take up to 5 minutes to kill poliovirus. Compared to a lot of other disinfectants, that's pretty fast, so I ordered some for use, but not in the kitchen because it would have to be washed off afterward. Also, it both cleans and disinfects, whereas some cleaners don't disinfect and some disinfectants don't clean. In that sense, it does double duty.

                        I've noticed that it takes a lot of disinfectant to thoroughly wet a surface. A lot of people who are using disinfecting wipes aren't using them properly, because (1) they don't thoroughly wet the surface and/or (2) because they wipe it off far too quickly, or they allow it to dry, before the minimum dwell time is reached. It's much easier to thoroughly wet a surface with a spray than it is with a wipe.

                        zboblamontZ 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • NeverDieN NeverDie

                          @franz-unix said in Coronavirus (way, way, off topic):

                          a sodium hypochlorite solution is what is commonly known as bleach.

                          Yes, but take a closer look. I was not interested in bleach (sodium hypochlorite) but instead Hypochlorous Acid. Note the difference in spelling, as they are not the same. I'm aware that some of the aliexpress products, like the one I linked to, may also advertise as sodium hypochlorite, but I think that may just be click bait (?). After all, how many people have ever heard of Hypochlorous Acid? Not me, until now.

                          What are the benefits?

                          Hypochlorous acid, unlike chlorine bleach, is 100% safe and non-irritant. If it gets on your skin or in your eyes, it will not burn. Even if it were accidentally ingested, it is completely harmless. Yet, it is 70-80 times more efficient at killing microbial pathogens than chlorine bleach.
                          https://www.hypochlorousacid.com/

                          It's good for disinfecting food surfaces, and you don't need to wash it off afterward. Some other disinfectants aren't safe for food contact, and so they have to be completely washed off food surfaces following disinfection, which to me seems like a major hassle. In addition, hypochlorous acid is apparently safe for disinfecting raw produce.

                          There is real science behind it: https://www.ams.usda.gov/sites/default/files/media/Hypochlorous Acid TR 08 13 15.pdf

                          How I found it: I was looking for a disinfectant with the shortest minimum dwell time to be effective. A lot of disinfectants have to thoroughly wet a surface for 10 or more minutes to be effective, which is a long time to be waiting around. The length of time is always detailed in a disinfectant's datasheet. For instance, consider Simple Green Clean Finish:" https://simplegreen.com/products/clean-finish-disinfectant-cleaner/ It kills 99.9% of bacteria in just 5 seconds. It can kill Avian influenza virus in 30 seconds if kept wet, but it can take up to 5 minutes to kill poliovirus. Compared to a lot of other disinfectants, that's pretty fast, so I ordered some for use, but not in the kitchen because it would have to be washed off afterward. Also, it both cleans and disinfects, whereas some cleaners don't disinfect and some disinfectants don't clean. In that sense, it does double duty.

                          I've noticed that it takes a lot of disinfectant to thoroughly wet a surface. A lot of people who are using disinfecting wipes aren't using them properly, because (1) they don't thoroughly wet the surface and/or (2) because they wipe it off far too quickly, or they allow it to dry, before the minimum dwell time is reached. It's much easier to thoroughly wet a surface with a spray than it is with a wipe.

                          zboblamontZ Offline
                          zboblamontZ Offline
                          zboblamont
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #74

                          @NeverDie An alcohol mist is pretty fast and effective as a surface disinfectant and almost universally available.
                          HOCl is a weak acid from vague memory and not so far removed from hypochlorite (same family?).
                          You have to remember that if a 20 second wash is good enough to clean your hands, the same should be true of surfaces, and raw produce rarely needs much other than a wash...
                          Sterilisation is a blanket attack so yes kills the bad stuff but also the good bacteria. eg - Chlorination provides you safe drinking water but kills some useful stomach bacteria on ingestion, which is why foreign waters give tourists problems the locals don't suffer.... ;)

                          NeverDieN 1 Reply Last reply
                          1
                          • zboblamontZ zboblamont

                            @NeverDie An alcohol mist is pretty fast and effective as a surface disinfectant and almost universally available.
                            HOCl is a weak acid from vague memory and not so far removed from hypochlorite (same family?).
                            You have to remember that if a 20 second wash is good enough to clean your hands, the same should be true of surfaces, and raw produce rarely needs much other than a wash...
                            Sterilisation is a blanket attack so yes kills the bad stuff but also the good bacteria. eg - Chlorination provides you safe drinking water but kills some useful stomach bacteria on ingestion, which is why foreign waters give tourists problems the locals don't suffer.... ;)

                            NeverDieN Offline
                            NeverDieN Offline
                            NeverDie
                            Hero Member
                            wrote on last edited by NeverDie
                            #75

                            @zboblamont Have a look at "List N", which is the table at the bottom of the CDC article: https://www.epa.gov/pesticide-registration/list-n-disinfectants-use-against-sars-cov-2

                            It's a 17 page list of disinfectant products and their active ingredients. What I was calling "dwell time", CDC calls "contact time". The required contact time for coronavirus disinfection for each is on the rightmost column. It varies from 30 seconds to 10 minutes, even for products with the same active ingredient. I'm guessing the main difference, then, is concentration of the active ingredient, though there might be other factors as well.

                            Your argument does seem like common sense, yet none of them are 20 seconds, and 10 minutes seems very common. Go figure as to why.

                            zboblamontZ 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • NeverDieN NeverDie

                              @zboblamont Have a look at "List N", which is the table at the bottom of the CDC article: https://www.epa.gov/pesticide-registration/list-n-disinfectants-use-against-sars-cov-2

                              It's a 17 page list of disinfectant products and their active ingredients. What I was calling "dwell time", CDC calls "contact time". The required contact time for coronavirus disinfection for each is on the rightmost column. It varies from 30 seconds to 10 minutes, even for products with the same active ingredient. I'm guessing the main difference, then, is concentration of the active ingredient, though there might be other factors as well.

                              Your argument does seem like common sense, yet none of them are 20 seconds, and 10 minutes seems very common. Go figure as to why.

                              zboblamontZ Offline
                              zboblamontZ Offline
                              zboblamont
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #76

                              @NeverDie Actually no. Because this is an EPA list denoting the effectiveness of listed products, it's much too complicated to find out concentrations of the active ingredient, and I would guess that the kill times have a Factor of Safety built in.
                              Saw nothing on what surfaces are referred as the Virus is known to survive on different surfaces for different durations, again I suspect a high FoS.
                              Sorted on "Follow the directions..." and looked for Human Coronavirus, ethanol and isopropol both pop up at 30 seconds contact (normal terminology for disinfection) time.

                              Hypochlorite is a few minutes but varies according to brand name, so not really helpful if you don't know concentrations.

                              My point remains that alcohol is readily available, and as an additional precaution post washing surfaces probably more than sufficient in a domestic environment.
                              If 70% is adequate for handwash on skin where it evaporates in a few seconds, no reason why on a cold non-porous surface it would be no less effective

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                              • NeverDieN Offline
                                NeverDieN Offline
                                NeverDie
                                Hero Member
                                wrote on last edited by NeverDie
                                #77

                                In case anyone is interested, BigClive tried out some inexpensive gear that's at least notionally similar to what I described above for making Hypochlorous Acid:

                                https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R5kcER2Z4-8

                                Judging from his teardown, it seems so ridiculously simple that it would be quite easy to DIY your own. I'm guessing that the only part that might differ in quality is the electrode. Presumably a platinum electrode (or maybe even just a platnum plated electrode?) would be the ideal choice, but BigClive speculates that maybe stainless steel might also work.

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                                • NeverDieN Offline
                                  NeverDieN Offline
                                  NeverDie
                                  Hero Member
                                  wrote on last edited by NeverDie
                                  #78

                                  Well, looking into it, the good ones apparently use pure titanium electrodes, which allegedly don't degrade or release other metals into the water.

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                                  • NeverDieN Offline
                                    NeverDieN Offline
                                    NeverDie
                                    Hero Member
                                    wrote on last edited by NeverDie
                                    #79

                                    I received the first Moderna vaccine yesterday, less than a year after the first post in this thread. The big unknown right now is how well it will work against the more lethal variants that have since evolved.

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                                    • hekH Offline
                                      hekH Offline
                                      hek
                                      Admin
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #80

                                      For "young" people like me in their 40-50, it seems we'll have to wait a few months more in Sweden.

                                      NeverDieN 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • hekH hek

                                        For "young" people like me in their 40-50, it seems we'll have to wait a few months more in Sweden.

                                        NeverDieN Offline
                                        NeverDieN Offline
                                        NeverDie
                                        Hero Member
                                        wrote on last edited by NeverDie
                                        #81

                                        @hek If you hop across over to Russia, you might be able to get inoculated with Sputnik V. Although it was initially greeted in the West with skepticism, it has since gotten thumbs up from a proper peer review in Lancet.

                                        hekH berkseoB Nca78N 3 Replies Last reply
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                                        • NeverDieN NeverDie

                                          @hek If you hop across over to Russia, you might be able to get inoculated with Sputnik V. Although it was initially greeted in the West with skepticism, it has since gotten thumbs up from a proper peer review in Lancet.

                                          hekH Offline
                                          hekH Offline
                                          hek
                                          Admin
                                          wrote on last edited by hek
                                          #82

                                          @NeverDie

                                          Hehe, I think we will continue our self isolation. The good thing with IT jobs is that it allows you to work from home. Just hope the teenage kids won't drag it home from their tri-weekly school-visits.

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